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JM's avatar

The concept of just out right buying Vonovia has passed through my mind as well. You can buy the full company for just 15 billion on the stock market.

If I am to read Vonovia's balance sheet correctly (https://report.vonovia.com/2024/q4/en/balance-sheet) then Vonovia in 2024 owned roughly 80 billion of apartments and had debts of roughly 40 billion (62 billion in total liabilities but that includes things like taxes and equity owed to shareholders.)

When you look at their balance sheet vs the stock market capitalization of the company that's when you get hit with the full force realization of how much modern real estate finance is just made up. What's the true value of these flats anyway if you can just acquire them for 15 billion? (Keeping in mind that you also need to take on the 40 billion in debt, but then again, Vonovia only took on that debt to buy those flats from others well after their construction costs had already been paid off.)

We had a few years here in Berlin where apartment rents were rising, but the value of the buildings themselves was decreasing. Part of that occurred in the 2022-2023 period when over indebted large landlords had to put a bunch of buildings on the market because of the rise in interest rates, and so naturally the prices of the buildings dropped with all that supply, and yet the rents on the flats themselves were increasing.

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